San Antonio Spurs at Chicago Bulls
Final · DAZN SAS
124–119Last shot · Noa Essengue makes 25-foot three pointer (Jaylin Sellers assists)
At lock: projected SA 127.68–112.79 CHI
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 10, 11:00 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2858127034
- Winner: Spurs (89%)
- Spread: CHI +15.5 covers (52%)
- Total: Over 240.5 (50%)
- Score error (both teams)10
| Player | Line | Sim median | Actual | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Vassell points | — | 13 | 0 | off -13 |
| C. Wilson points | — | 19 | 15 | off -4 |
| D. Fox points | — | 17 | 17 | off 0 |
| J. Giddey points | — | 14 | 9 | off -5 |
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
Advanced analytics
Matchup edge: SA vs CHI
The model
How this number was built
SA 127.68–112.79 CHI · Medium confidence
overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.
- Power indexCHI -5.4 vs SA +10.2 · pred margin -14.7
- Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)Adj. net -6.4 vs +8.4 · back-to-back: CHI, SA · model CHI 112.2–125.9 SA
- Home field+2.8 pts to CHI
- RecordCHI 1-9 · SA 10-2
- Market priorBlended 66% toward SA -15.5 / total 237.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SA | 29 | 27 | 34 | 34 | 124 |
| CHI | 41 | 29 | 19 | 30 | 119 |
Scoring plays
SCORE4th Quarter 2:25118–105Carter Bryant makes 1-foot layup (Keldon Johnson assists)
- SCORE4th Quarter 2:04120–105
Dylan Harper makes running dunk
XP4th Quarter 1:51120–107Patrick Williams makes driving layup (Jaylin Sellers assists)
- XP4th Quarter 1:51120–108
Patrick Williams makes free throw 1 of 1
- 3PT4th Quarter 1:18120–111
Jaylin Sellers makes 25-foot three pointer
- SCORE4th Quarter 59.1122–111
Jordan McLaughlin makes driving layup
- SCORE4th Quarter 44.1122–113
Noa Essengue makes 1-foot driving dunk (Jaylin Sellers assists)
- FT4th Quarter 44.1122–114
Noa Essengue makes free throw 1 of 1
- XP4th Quarter 17.8122–116
Noa Essengue makes running dunk (Patrick Williams assists)
- FT4th Quarter 11.2123–116
Jordan McLaughlin makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT4th Quarter 11.2124–116
Jordan McLaughlin makes free throw 2 of 2
- 3PT4th Quarter 0.0124–119
Noa Essengue makes 25-foot three pointer (Jaylin Sellers assists)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| SA | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 J. Champagnie F · #30 | 35 | 12 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +14 |
 V. Wembanyama F · #1 | 32 | 32 | 13-18 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 3 | +29 |
 D. Fox G · #4 | 31 | 17 | 7-17 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +15 |
 S. Castle G · #5 | 29 | 11 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +16 |
 D. Harper G · #2 | 36 | 18 | 7-18 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +19 |
 H. Barnes F · #40 | 13 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -7 |
 K. Johnson F · #3 | 28 | 10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -7 |
 D. Jones Garcia F · #25 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -10 |
 C. Bryant F · #11 | 15 | 10 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -10 |
 L. Kornet C · #7 | 14 | 7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | -14 |
 T. Reed Jr. C · #10 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -10 |
 J. McLaughlin G · #0 | 2 | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -10 |
| Team | 124 | 49-98 | 13-34 | 13-18 | 33 | 32 | 6 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 22 | 20 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| SA | CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 49-98 | 44-76 |
| FG% | 50 | 58 |
| 3PT | 13-34 | 15-29 |
| 3P% | 38 | 52 |
| FT | 13-18 | 16-18 |
| FT% | 72 | 89 |
| REB | 33 | 40 |
| OR | 11 | 7 |
| DR | 22 | 33 |
| AST | 32 | 33 |
| STL | 16 | 3 |
| BLK | 7 | 4 |
| TO | 6 | 19 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 6 | 19 |
| TECH | 0 | 3 |
| TECH | 0 | 3 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| Points Conceded Off Turnovers | 7 | 22 |
| FBPs | 21 | 6 |
| PIP | 66 | 56 |
| PF | 20 | 19 |
| LL | 15 | 22 |
| LC | 8 | 8 |
| LPCT | 41 | 49 |
Model projected SA 127.68 – 112.79 CHI at lock · below the strong-play bar (edge -1.5%; strong needs +3%) · informational lean, not a recommended bet
Prop V. Wembanyama · SA
32 PTS · over 30.5J. Champagnie · SA
35 MIN · 12 PTSJ. Smith · CHI
30 MIN · 23 PTSDylan Harper · SA
STAT · 36 MIN · 18 PTS · 7-18 FG · 2-4 3PTDe'Aaron Fox · SA
STAT · 31 MIN · 17 PTS · 7-17 FG · 2-7 3PTNic Claxton · CHI
STAT · 16 MIN · 17 PTS · 5-6 FG · 7-9 FT
Data-Driven Pick · V. Wembanyama Under 30.5 pts
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Spurs vs Bulls pick result · Nov 11, 2026
Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
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