Cleveland Cavaliers at New York Knicks
Final · ESPN
115–107Last shot · Miles McBride misses 26-foot three point jumper
At lock: projected CLE 109.09–113.12 NY
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 10, 11:00 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2623240368
- Winner: Knicks (62%)
- Spread: NY -3.5 covers (52%)
- Total: Over 221.5 (56%)
- Score error (both teams)11
| Player | Line | Sim median | Actual | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Brunson points | — | 26 | 27 | off 1 |
| O. Anunoby points | — | 17 | 14 | off -3 |
| D. Mitchell points | — | 26 | 23 | off -3 |
| J. Harden points | — | 20 | 32 | off 12 |
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
Advanced analytics
Matchup edge: CLE vs NY
The model
How this number was built
CLE 109.09–113.12 NY · Medium confidence
overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.
- Power indexNY +5.7 vs CLE +4.0 · pred margin +4.5
- Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)Adj. net +4.4 vs +1.8 · back-to-back: NY, CLE · model NY 113.5–108.7 CLE
- Home field+2.8 pts to NY
- RecordNY 6-5 · CLE 6-6
- Market priorBlended 66% toward NY -4.5 / total 220.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 33 | 26 | 23 | 33 | 115 |
| NY | 23 | 30 | 23 | 31 | 107 |
Scoring plays
SCORE4th Quarter 3:26104–103Jalen Brunson makes 3-foot two point shot
SCORE4th Quarter 2:59106–103Evan Mobley makes 6-foot driving floating jump shot (James Harden assists)
- FT4th Quarter 2:18107–103
Jarrett Allen makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT4th Quarter 2:18108–103
Jarrett Allen makes free throw 2 of 2
- SCORE4th Quarter 1:41110–103
Jarrett Allen makes 1-foot driving dunk (Donovan Mitchell assists)
- FT4th Quarter 1:33110–104
OG Anunoby makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT4th Quarter 1:33110–105
OG Anunoby makes free throw 2 of 2
- SCORE4th Quarter 29.6112–105
Jarrett Allen makes running dunk (James Harden assists)
- FT4th Quarter 29.6113–105
Jarrett Allen makes free throw 1 of 1
- SCORE4th Quarter 22.7113–107
Jalen Brunson makes 2-foot two point shot
- FT4th Quarter 21.4114–107
James Harden makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT4th Quarter 21.4115–107
James Harden makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| CLE | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 J. Allen C · #31 | 32 | 11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 2 | +9 |
 E. Mobley C · #4 | 33 | 10 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +5 |
 J. Harden G · #1 | 33 | 32 | 9-14 | 5-7 | 9-11 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +8 |
 D. Mitchell G · #45 | 36 | 23 | 8-15 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +15 |
 P. Watson G · #8 | 30 | 7 | 2-12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
 M. Hezonja F · #33 | 7 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -9 |
 J. Tyson G · #20 | 23 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +6 |
 T. Proctor G · #24 | 23 | 15 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 |
 M. Thomas G · #15 | 22 | 14 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +10 |
 R. Minix F · #12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 T. Bryant C · #3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
N N. Omier C · #15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 C. Porter Jr. G · #9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 115 | 40-85 | 15-38 | 20-25 | 40 | 23 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 18 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| CLE | NY | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 40-85 | 41-83 |
| FG% | 47 | 49 |
| 3PT | 15-38 | 14-39 |
| 3P% | 39 | 36 |
| FT | 20-25 | 11-11 |
| FT% | 80 | 100 |
| REB | 40 | 35 |
| OR | 11 | 7 |
| DR | 29 | 28 |
| AST | 23 | 33 |
| STL | 8 | 5 |
| BLK | 9 | 4 |
| TO | 9 | 11 |
| TTO | 1 | 1 |
| ToTO | 10 | 12 |
| TECH | 0 | 1 |
| TECH | 0 | 1 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| Points Conceded Off Turnovers | 19 | 9 |
| FBPs | 14 | 10 |
| PIP | 42 | 44 |
| PF | 18 | 21 |
| LL | 12 | 2 |
| LC | 3 | 3 |
| LPCT | 89 | 5 |
Model projected CLE 109.09 – 113.12 NY at lock · below the strong-play bar (edge -2.1%; strong needs +3%) · informational lean, not a recommended bet
Prop J. Allen · CLE
14 REB · over 7.5O. Anunoby · NY
34 MIN · 14 PTSJames Harden · CLE
STAT · 33 MIN · 32 PTS · 9-14 FG · 5-7 3PTJalen Brunson · NY
STAT · 35 MIN · 27 PTS · 12-23 FG · 3-8 3PTDonovan Mitchell · CLE
STAT · 36 MIN · 23 PTS · 8-15 FG · 2-7 3PTKarl-Anthony Towns · NY
STAT · 34 MIN · 21 PTS · 7-11 FG · 2-5 3PT
Data-Driven Pick · J. Allen Under 7.5 reb
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Cavaliers vs Knicks pick result · Nov 11, 2026
Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NBA picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day