Milwaukee Bucks at New York Knicks
Final · MyMi
85–117Last shot · Pacome Dadiet misses 26-foot three point jumper
At lock: projected MIL 102.45–117.61 NY
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 9, 11:01 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2740683701
- Winner: Knicks (90%)
- Spread: MIL +15.5 covers (52%)
- Total: Under 220.5 (52%)
- Score error (both teams)19
| Player | Line | Sim median | Actual | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Rollins points | — | 15 | 14 | off -1 |
| J. Brunson points | — | 26 | 23 | off -3 |
| T. Herro points | — | 21 | 0 | off -21 |
| O. Anunoby points | — | 17 | 19 | off 2 |
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
Advanced analytics
Matchup edge: MIL vs NY
The model
How this number was built
MIL 102.45–117.61 NY · Medium confidence
overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.
- Power indexNY +5.7 vs MIL -8.3 · pred margin +15.1
- Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)Adj. net +4.4 vs -8.0 · back-to-back: NY, MIL · model NY 116.0–101.0 MIL
- Home field+2.8 pts to NY
- RecordNY 6-4 · MIL 1-10
- Market priorBlended 66% toward NY -14.5 / total 221.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 21 | 13 | 38 | 13 | 85 |
| NY | 26 | 32 | 27 | 32 | 117 |
Scoring plays
LAYUP SHOT4th Quarter 8:0578–98Jericho Sims makes layup (Kyle Kuzma assists)
SCORE4th Quarter 7:4478–100Karl-Anthony Towns makes driving layup (Tyler Kolek assists)
- 3PT4th Quarter 7:1578–103
OG Anunoby makes 24-foot three pointer
- JUMP SHOT4th Quarter 6:3078–106
OG Anunoby makes 24-foot three point jumper (Tyler Kolek assists)
- SCORE4th Quarter 4:5280–106
Gary Trent Jr. makes 1-foot running pullup jump shot
- JUMP SHOT4th Quarter 4:0683–106
Gary Trent Jr. makes 25-foot three point jumper (Kasparas Jakucionis assists)
- SCORE4th Quarter 3:4283–108
Pacome Dadiet makes 1-foot layup (Jose Alvarado assists)
- FT4th Quarter 3:4283–109
Pacome Dadiet makes free throw 1 of 1
- SCORE4th Quarter 3:0785–109
Ousmane Dieng makes 1-foot running dunk (Bogoljub Markovic assists)
- JUMP SHOT4th Quarter 2:2185–112
Pacome Dadiet makes 26-foot three point jumper (Mohamed Diawara assists)
- SCORE4th Quarter 1:4685–114
Pacome Dadiet makes 16-foot pullup jump shot
- JUMP SHOT4th Quarter 1:1585–117
Dalton Knecht makes 23-foot three point jumper (Mohamed Diawara assists)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| MIL | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 K. Kuzma F · #18 | 26 | 5 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -14 |
 J. Jaquez Jr. F · #24 | 25 | 16 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 |
 M. Turner C · #3 | 27 | 3 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -24 |
 R. Rollins G · #13 | 24 | 14 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -10 |
 B. Burries G · #0 | 26 | 3 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -23 |
 O. Dieng F · #21 | 24 | 8 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -22 |
 N. Ament F · #15 | 22 | 10 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -13 |
 B. Markovic F · #23 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -9 |
 J. Sims C · #00 | 8 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -10 |
 K. Ware C · #9 | 17 | 8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | +1 |
 G. Trent Jr. G · #5 | 6 | 5 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 |
 A. Green G · #20 | 8 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -14 |
 K. Jakucionis G · #25 | 23 | 11 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -16 |
 C. LeVert G · #12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 85 | 30-79 | 16-44 | 9-10 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 25 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| MIL | NY | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 30-79 | 40-89 |
| FG% | 38 | 45 |
| 3PT | 16-44 | 17-44 |
| 3P% | 36 | 39 |
| FT | 9-10 | 20-25 |
| FT% | 90 | 80 |
| REB | 32 | 59 |
| OR | 7 | 18 |
| DR | 25 | 41 |
| AST | 20 | 26 |
| STL | 7 | 7 |
| BLK | 4 | 3 |
| TO | 12 | 10 |
| TTO | 2 | 1 |
| ToTO | 14 | 11 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| Points Conceded Off Turnovers | 25 | 16 |
| FBPs | 13 | 4 |
| PIP | 28 | 38 |
| PF | 25 | 13 |
| LL | 3 | 32 |
| LC | 7 | 7 |
| LPCT | 8 | 87 |
At lock MIL 102.45–117.61 NY · NY by 15.2 pts vs MIL +15.5 · 50% is the confidence saved at lock
MissProp O. Anunoby · NY
19 PTS · over 17.5K. Kuzma · MIL
26 MIN · 5 PTSJalen Brunson · NY
STAT · 28 MIN · 23 PTS · 7-18 FG · 1-3 3PTKarl-Anthony Towns · NY
STAT · 27 MIN · 21 PTS · 5-14 FG · 2-9 3PTJaime Jaquez Jr. · MIL
STAT · 25 MIN · 16 PTS · 6-13 FG · 2-5 3PTRyan Rollins · MIL
STAT · 24 MIN · 14 PTS · 5-9 FG · 4-6 3PT
Data-Driven Pick · O. Anunoby Under 17.5 pts
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Bucks vs Knicks pick result · Nov 10, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is MIL +15.5, with a 50% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NBA picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day