Philadelphia 76ers at Chicago Bulls
Final
127–121Last shot · Matas Buzelis misses 26-foot three point pullup jump shot
At lock: projected PHI 123.15–114.89 CHI
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 7, 11:00 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 710989160
- Winner: 76ers (76%)
- Spread: CHI +8.5 covers (51%)
- Total: Under 238.5 (50%)
- Score error (both teams)9
| Player | Line | Sim median | Actual | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Giddey points | — | 14 | 19 | off 5 |
| J. Brown points | — | 26 | 29 | off 3 |
| T. Maxey points | — | 28 | 27 | off -1 |
| C. Wilson points | — | 20 | 18 | off -2 |
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
Advanced analytics
Matchup edge: PHI vs CHI
The model
How this number was built
PHI 123.15–114.89 CHI · Medium confidence
overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.
- Power indexCHI -5.4 vs PHI +2.7 · pred margin -8.1
- Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)Adj. net -6.4 vs +0.7 · back-to-back: CHI, PHI · model CHI 115.6–121.2 PHI
- Home field+2.8 pts to CHI
- RecordCHI 1-8 · PHI 9-2
- Market priorBlended 66% toward PHI -9.5 / total 238.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 34 | 34 | 31 | 28 | 127 |
| CHI | 33 | 28 | 32 | 28 | 121 |
Scoring plays
FT4th Quarter 3:00118–116Isaac Okoro makes free throw 1 of 1
FT4th Quarter 2:40119–116Joel Embiid makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT4th Quarter 2:40120–116
Joel Embiid makes free throw 2 of 2
- 3PT4th Quarter 2:13123–116
Tyrese Maxey makes 23-foot three point step back jumpshot (LeBron James assists)
- FT4th Quarter 1:31123–117
Caleb Wilson makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT4th Quarter 1:31123–118
Caleb Wilson makes free throw 2 of 2
- SCORE4th Quarter 1:09123–120
Matas Buzelis makes running dunk (Josh Giddey assists)
- FT4th Quarter 51.2124–120
Jaylen Brown makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT4th Quarter 51.2125–120
Jaylen Brown makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT4th Quarter 16.5125–121
Jalen Smith makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT4th Quarter 13.4126–121
Jaylen Brown makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT4th Quarter 13.4127–121
Jaylen Brown makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| PHI | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 L. James F · #23 | 33 | 22 | 8-16 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +1 |
 J. Embiid C · #21 | 29 | 18 | 7-19 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +2 |
 J. Brown G · #7 | 35 | 29 | 11-22 | 2-6 | 5-8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +8 |
 T. Maxey G · #0 | 36 | 27 | 9-16 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -1 |
 V. Edgecombe G · #77 | 35 | 13 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +17 |
 D. Wade F · #45 | 18 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 |
 J. Walker F · #33 | 19 | 9 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | +4 |
 K. Caldwell-Pope G · #1 | 21 | 6 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
 A. Simons G · #5 | 16 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 |
 J. Edwards F · #11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 L. Philon Jr. G · #00 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 R. Rupert G · #12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 127 | 46-99 | 14-34 | 21-25 | 54 | 30 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 20 | 34 | 16 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| PHI | CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 46-99 | 46-88 |
| FG% | 46 | 52 |
| 3PT | 14-34 | 10-37 |
| 3P% | 41 | 27 |
| FT | 21-25 | 19-23 |
| FT% | 84 | 83 |
| REB | 54 | 42 |
| OR | 20 | 9 |
| DR | 34 | 33 |
| AST | 30 | 30 |
| STL | 8 | 6 |
| BLK | 2 | 8 |
| TO | 9 | 13 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 9 | 13 |
| TECH | 1 | 0 |
| TECH | 1 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| Points Conceded Off Turnovers | 13 | 14 |
| FBPs | 18 | 17 |
| PIP | 58 | 64 |
| PF | 16 | 18 |
| LL | 12 | 7 |
| LC | 9 | 9 |
| LPCT | 72 | 25 |
At lock PHI 123.15–114.89 CHI · PHI by 8.3 pts vs CHI +8.5 · 50% is the confidence saved at lock
HitProp T. Jones · CHI
1 AST · under 3.5L. James · PHI
33 MIN · 22 PTSJ. Smith · CHI
30 MIN · 17 PTSJaylen Brown · PHI
STAT · 35 MIN · 29 PTS · 11-22 FG · 2-6 3PTTyrese Maxey · PHI
STAT · 36 MIN · 27 PTS · 9-16 FG · 3-7 3PTMatas Buzelis · CHI
STAT · 31 MIN · 19 PTS · 6-10 FG · 3-7 3PT
Data-Driven Pick · T. Jones Under 3.5 ast
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
76ers vs Bulls pick result · Nov 8, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is CHI +8.5, with a 50% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NBA picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day