Brooklyn Nets at Indiana Pacers
Final · NBA League Pass
98–90Last shot · Pascal Siakam misses driving floating jump shot
At lock: projected BKN 112.74–117.66 IND
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Oct 31, 11:00 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2606168559
- Winner: Pacers (66%)
- Spread: IND -4.5 covers (52%)
- Total: Over 230.5 (51%)
- Score error (both teams)43
| Player | Line | Sim median | Actual | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Porter Jr. points | — | 24 | 23 | off -1 |
| P. Siakam points | — | 24 | 17 | off -7 |
| T. Haliburton points | — | 22 | 0 | off -22 |
| J. Randle points | — | 21 | 20 | off -1 |
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
Advanced analytics
Matchup edge: BKN vs IND
The model
How this number was built
BKN 112.74–117.66 IND · Medium confidence
overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.
- Power indexIND -3.1 vs BKN -5.9 · pred margin +4.1
- Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)Adj. net -3.8 vs -6.2 · back-to-back: IND, BKN · model IND 114.4–109.9 BKN
- Home field+2.8 pts to IND
- RecordIND 2-5 · BKN 1-5
- Market priorBlended 68% toward IND -3.5 / total 230.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BKN | 20 | 23 | 28 | 27 | 98 |
| IND | 19 | 21 | 22 | 28 | 90 |
Scoring plays
SCORE4th Quarter 5:5986–76Day'Ron Sharpe makes alley oop dunk (Nolan Traore assists)
SCORE4th Quarter 5:4286–78Jalen Slawson makes 2-foot layup (Pascal Siakam assists)
- FT4th Quarter 5:2587–78
Day'Ron Sharpe makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT4th Quarter 5:2588–78
Day'Ron Sharpe makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMP SHOT4th Quarter 5:0888–81
Kobe Brown makes 24-foot three point jumper (Quenton Jackson assists)
- 3PT4th Quarter 4:4491–81
Julius Randle makes 25-foot three point step back jumpshot
- 3PT4th Quarter 4:2691–84
Andrew Nembhard makes 25-foot three point step back jumpshot
- JUMP SHOT4th Quarter 4:0894–84
Nolan Traore makes 25-foot three point jumper (Julius Randle assists)
- JUMP SHOT4th Quarter 3:4394–87
Quenton Jackson makes 24-foot three point jumper (Andrew Nembhard assists)
- JUMP SHOT4th Quarter 3:2597–87
Nolan Traore makes 27-foot three point jumper (Julius Randle assists)
- JUMP SHOT4th Quarter 2:2497–90
Andrew Nembhard makes 29-foot three point jumper (Pascal Siakam assists)
- FT4th Quarter 52.498–90
Chaney Johnson makes technical free throw
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| BKN | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 J. Randle F · #30 | 37 | 20 | 5-15 | 4-9 | 6-6 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +17 |
 M. Porter Jr. F · #17 | 36 | 23 | 7-16 | 3-10 | 6-9 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 |
 C. Johnson F · #31 | 31 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +10 |
 D. Sharpe C · #20 | 26 | 15 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | +13 |
 N. Traore G · #10 | 30 | 16 | 6-14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +8 |
 N. Clowney F · #21 | 24 | 8 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -7 |
 M. Wagner C · #13 | 21 | 14 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -4 |
 T. Mann G · #14 | 15 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 |
 K. Ellis G · #1 | 20 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +1 |
 J. Minott F · #00 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 D. Wolf F · #2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 D. Powell G · #4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 98 | 30-73 | 13-39 | 25-31 | 43 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 26 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| BKN | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 30-73 | 28-70 |
| FG% | 41 | 40 |
| 3PT | 13-39 | 13-35 |
| 3P% | 33 | 37 |
| FT | 25-31 | 21-30 |
| FT% | 81 | 70 |
| REB | 43 | 37 |
| OR | 7 | 9 |
| DR | 36 | 28 |
| AST | 21 | 21 |
| STL | 6 | 5 |
| BLK | 2 | 2 |
| TO | 15 | 14 |
| TTO | 3 | 1 |
| ToTO | 18 | 15 |
| TECH | 0 | 2 |
| TECH | 0 | 2 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| Points Conceded Off Turnovers | 17 | 11 |
| FBPs | 2 | 2 |
| PIP | 30 | 26 |
| PF | 26 | 25 |
| LL | 12 | 1 |
| LC | 4 | 4 |
| LPCT | 96 | 3 |
At lock BKN 112.74–117.66 IND · IND by 4.9 pts vs IND -4.5 · 50% is the confidence saved at lock
MissProp J. Huff · IND
0 PTS · needs 7.5 moreJ. Randle · BKN
37 MIN · 20 PTSP. Siakam · IND
36 MIN · 17 PTSMichael Porter Jr. · BKN
STAT · 36 MIN · 23 PTS · 7-16 FG · 3-10 3PTAndrew Nembhard · IND
STAT · 35 MIN · 23 PTS · 7-19 FG · 4-10 3PTNolan Traore · BKN
STAT · 30 MIN · 16 PTS · 6-14 FG · 4-8 3PT
Data-Driven Pick · J. Huff Over 7.5 pts
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Nets vs Pacers pick result · Nov 1, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is IND -4.5, with a 50% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NBA picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day