Nice at Angers
FT · beIn Sports
2–0
Model: NICE 1.58–1.11 ANG
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 7, 11:00 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3389303408
- Winner: Nice (42%)
- Spread: ANG +0.5 covers (58%)
- Total: Under 2.5 (51%)
- Score error (both teams)2
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
NICE 1.58–1.11 ANG · Medium confidence
overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.
- Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)Goal ratings (shots-on-target adjusted): ANG att -0.47 / def -0.23 · NICE att -0.10 / def -0.08 · model ANG 1.1–1.5 NICE
- Home field+0.3 goals to ANG
- RecordANG 2-2-6 · NICE 5-2-3
- Market priorBlended 66% toward NICE -115 / total 2.5
Line score
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NICE | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| ANG | 0 | 0 | 0 |
How the goals went in
- GOAL1H 2'
Goal! Angers 0, Nice 1. Sofiane Diop (Nice) right footed shot from the right side of the six yard box to the centre of the goal. Assisted by Mohammed Amoura.
- GOAL2H 78'
Goal! Angers 0, Nice 2. Jonathan Clauss (Nice) right footed shot from a difficult angle on the right to the top right corner. Assisted by Gauthier Hein.
Game leaders
- Mohamed Amouratotalshots 4
- Youssouf NdayishimiyePass 43
- Youssouf Ndayishimiyedefensiveinterventions 14
- Yehvann DioufSV 4
- Joseph Kalulu Kyatengwatotalshots 3
- Ousmane CamaraPass 66
- Ousmane Camaradefensiveinterventions 18
- Anthony LopesSV 6
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| NICE | ANG | |
|---|---|---|
| Fouls | 6 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards | 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 |
| Offsides | 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks | 4 | 6 |
| Saves | 4 | 6 |
| Possession | 48.4 | 51.6 |
| SHOTS | 16 | 12 |
| ON GOAL | 8 | 4 |
| On Target % | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Penalty Goals | 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Kicks Taken | 0 | 0 |
| Accurate Passes | 402 | 411 |
| Passes | 461 | 473 |
| Pass Completion % | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Accurate Crosses | 3 | 6 |
| Crosses | 12 | 28 |
| Cross % | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Long Balls | 54 | 29 |
| Accurate Long Balls | 34 | 19 |
| Long Balls % | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| Blocked Shots | 2 | 1 |
| Effective Tackles | 9 | 8 |
| Tackles | 11 | 12 |
| Tackle % | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| Interceptions | 12 | 6 |
| Effective Clearances | 29 | 23 |
| Clearances | 29 | 23 |
Model projects NICE 1.58 – 1.11 ANG · no lean was locked before the game
Prop M. Sanson · NICE
M. Sanson Over 1.5 shotsM. Amoura · NICE
ForwardY. Ndayishimiye · NICE
MidfielderY. Diouf · NICE
GoalkeeperJ. Kalulu Kyatengwa · ANG
DefenderO. Camara · ANG
Defender
Data-Driven Pick · M. Sanson Over 1.5 shots
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Nice vs Angers pick result · Nov 8, 2026
Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
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