Antwerp at Cercle Brugge KSV
FT
1–2
At lock: projected ANT 1.19–1.56 CBK
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Oct 31, 11:14 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3845321644
- Winner: Cercle Brugge (46%)
- Spread: ANT +0.5 covers (54%)
- Total: Over 2.5 (52%)
- Score error (both teams)0
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
ANT 1.19–1.56 CBK · Medium confidence
overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.
- Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)Goal ratings (shots-on-target adjusted): CBK att -0.08 / def -0.21 · ANT att -0.14 / def -0.07 · model CBK 1.7–1.5 ANT
- Home field+0.3 goals to CBK
- RecordCBK 1-3-6 · ANT 3-1-6
- Market priorBlended 66% toward CBK +110 / total 2.5
Line score
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ANT | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| CBK | 0 | 2 | 2 |
How the goals went in
- GOAL2H 48'
Babatunde Akinsola (Cercle Brugge KSV) Goal at 48'
- GOAL2H 61'
Babatunde Akinsola (Cercle Brugge KSV) Goal at 61'
- GOAL2H 81'
Modibo Fofana (Antwerp) Goal at 81'
Game leaders
- Bahmed Deufftotalshots 3
- Álvaro CortésPass 75
- Rein Van Heldendefensiveinterventions 9
- Taishi NozawaSV 3
- Babatunde Akinsolatotalshots 5
- Royer CaicedoPass 36
- Royer Caicedodefensiveinterventions 15
- Gaëtan CouckeSV 2
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| ANT | CBK | |
|---|---|---|
| Fouls | 15 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards | 5 | 0 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 |
| Offsides | 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks | 4 | 4 |
| Saves | 3 | 2 |
| Possession | 60 | 40 |
| SHOTS | 15 | 10 |
| ON GOAL | 4 | 5 |
| On Target % | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Penalty Goals | 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Kicks Taken | 0 | 0 |
| Accurate Passes | 383 | 219 |
| Passes | 473 | 315 |
| Pass Completion % | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| Cross % | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Long Balls % | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Blocked Shots | 2 | 2 |
| Effective Tackles | 11 | 11 |
| Tackles | 20 | 19 |
| Tackle % | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Effective Clearances | 0 | 0 |
| Clearances | 18 | 41 |
At lock ANT 1.19–1.56 CBK · 0.3 goals over 2.5 · 58% is the confidence saved at lock
HitB. Deuff · ANT
MidfielderÁ. Cortés · ANT
GoalkeeperR. Van Helden · ANT
DefenderT. Nozawa · ANT
GoalkeeperB. Akinsola · CBK
ForwardR. Caicedo · CBK
Defender
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Antwerp vs Cercle Brugge pick result · Nov 1, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is Over 2.5, with a 58% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: Belgium picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day