Anderlecht at Club Brugge
FT
1–1
At lock: projected AND 1.08–2.35 BRU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 7, 11:07 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3929062644
- Winner: Club Brugge (65%)
- Spread: AND +1.5 covers (57%)
- Total: Under 3.5 (56%)
- Score error (both teams)1
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
AND 1.08–2.35 BRU · Medium confidence
overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.
- Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)Goal ratings (shots-on-target adjusted): BRU att +0.52 / def +0.29 · AND att -0.01 / def +0.07 · model BRU 2.7–1.0 AND
- Home field+0.3 goals to BRU
- RecordBRU 9-1-1 · AND 6-2-3
- Market priorBlended 80% toward BRU -170 / total 3.5
Line score
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AND | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| BRU | 1 | 0 | 1 |
How the goals went in
- GOAL1H 41'
Hans Vanaken (Club Brugge) Goal at 41'
- GOAL2H 58'
Mihajlo Cvetkovic (Anderlecht) Goal at 58'
Game leaders
- Mihajlo Cvetkovictotalshots 2
- Léo PétrotPass 38
- Giulian Bianconedefensiveinterventions 15
- Colin CoosemansSV 7
- Hans Vanakentotalshots 6
- Brandon MechelePass 96
- Brandon Mecheledefensiveinterventions 6
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| AND | BRU | |
|---|---|---|
| Fouls | 14 | 15 |
| Yellow Cards | 4 | 4 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 |
| Offsides | 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks | 1 | 9 |
| Saves | 7 | 0 |
| Possession | 32.7 | 67.3 |
| SHOTS | 7 | 24 |
| ON GOAL | 1 | 8 |
| On Target % | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Penalty Goals | 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Kicks Taken | 0 | 0 |
| Accurate Passes | 262 | 575 |
| Passes | 323 | 640 |
| Pass Completion % | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| Cross % | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Long Balls % | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Blocked Shots | 2 | 6 |
| Effective Tackles | 9 | 8 |
| Tackles | 13 | 11 |
| Tackle % | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Effective Clearances | 0 | 0 |
| Clearances | 58 | 13 |
At lock AND 1.08–2.35 BRU · 0.1 goals under 3.5 · 53% is the confidence saved at lock
HitProp R. Vermant anytime goal · BRU
R. Vermant anytime goalM. Cvetkovic · AND
ForwardL. Pétrot · AND
DefenderG. Biancone · AND
DefenderC. Coosemans · AND
GoalkeeperH. Vanaken · BRU
Midfielder
Data-Driven Pick · R. Vermant anytime goal
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Anderlecht vs Club Brugge pick result · Nov 8, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is Under 3.5, with a 53% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: Belgium picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day