ATPSun 5:00 AM CTAlmaty, Kazakhstan
Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Daniil Medvedev

Nikoloz Basilashvili
No. 128
40%
Projected

Daniil Medvedev
No. 1 · computer pick
60%
NIK 40%DAN 60%
Model 60% DAN
Simulation isn’t available for ATP — there’s no score model for this sport.
The model
How this number was built
NIK 40.00–60.00 DAN · Medium confidence
Tour ranking, blended with the moneyline when posted.
- Win rateDAN No. 1 vs NIK No. 128
- FormSeason record only
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Basilashvili vs Medvedev prediction · Oct 25, 2026
The model gives Medvedev a 60% chance to win.
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