UFCSat 9:00 AM CTEtihad Arena
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev
TV · Paramount+
Jacob Malkoun
10-3-0
41%
Projected
Abubakar Vagaev
25-4-0 · computer pick
55%
JAC 41%Draw 4%ABU 55%
Model 55% ABU
Simulation isn’t available for UFC — there’s no score model for this sport.
DraftKingstap to log
Spread
JAC +3.5—
ABU -3.5—
Total
The model
How this number was built
JAC 41.00–55.00 ABU · Low confidence
Elo-style win rates, blended with the moneyline when posted.
- Win rateABU 25-4-0 vs JAC 10-3-0
- FormSeason record only
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Malkoun vs Vagaev prediction · Oct 24, 2026
The model gives Vagaev a 55% chance to win. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
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