UFCSat 11:00 AM CTEtihad Arena

UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev

TV · Paramount+

Dominick Reyes

16-5-0

36%

Projected

Azamat Murzakanov

16-1-0 · computer pick

60%

DOM 36%Draw 4%AZA 60%

Model 60% AZA

Simulation isn’t available for UFC — there’s no score model for this sport.

DraftKingstap to log

Spread

DOM +3.5—

AZA -3.5—

Total

The model

How this number was built

DOM 36.00–60.00 AZA · Low confidence

Elo-style win rates, blended with the moneyline when posted.

Win rate
AZA 16-1-0 vs DOM 16-5-0
Form
Season record only

Full write-up of the model

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

Reyes vs Murzakanov prediction · Oct 24, 2026

The model gives Murzakanov a 60% chance to win. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.

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