Champions LeagueTue 11:45 AM CTStamford Bridge
Sporting CP at Shakhtar Donetsk
TV · Paramount+
Tue 11:45 AM CT
Computer
Over 2.5
34%
SCP 1.47–1.49 SHK · 0.5 goals over 2.5
Players
L. Suárez · SCP
ForwardsG. Mendoza · SHK
Midfield
Sporting CP
2-2 · L1
Form DWWDD · 9 PF · 7 PA
1.47
Projected
Shakhtar Donetsk
1-1-2 · L1 · computer pick
Form DWDLL · 4 PF · 4 PA
1.49
SCP 37%Draw 25%SHK 38%
Projected SCP 1.47–1.49 SHK · most likely 1–1
The model
How this number was built
SCP 1.47–1.49 SHK · Low confidence
Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.
- Attack / defenseSHK -0.2 off · SCP +0.3 off, shrunk 40%
- Home field+0.3 goals to SHK
- RecordSHK 1-1-2 · SCP 2-2
Season leaders
- Luis Suárezgoals 2
- Luis Suárezgoalsleaders 2
- Gleiker Mendozagoals 2
- Gleiker Mendozagoalsleaders 2
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| SCP | SHK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal Difference | 4 | 2 |
| Total Goals | 5 | 4 |
| Assists | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 |
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Sporting vs Shakhtar prediction · Nov 3, 2026
The model projects Sporting 1.5, Shakhtar 1.5. Model win probability: Shakhtar 38%, Sporting 37%, draw 25%.
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