Champions LeagueWed 2:00 PM CTStade Bollaert-Delelis

Como at Lens

TV · Paramount+

Wed 2:00 PM CT
Computer
Over 3.5
54%

COMO 2.56–1.32 RCL · 0.4 goals over 3.5

Players
  • A. Diao · COMO

    Forwards
  • F. Thauvin · RCL

    Forwards
Como
3-1 · W1 · computer pick
Form DWLDL · 14 PF · 6 PA
2.56
Projected
Lens
1-3 · L1
Form DWLWL · 3 PF · 10 PA
1.32
COMO 63%Draw 18%RCL 19%

Projected COMO 2.56–1.32 RCL · most likely 2–1

The model

How this number was built

COMO 2.56–1.32 RCL · Low confidence

Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.

  • Attack / defense
    RCL -0.3 off · COMO +0.9 off, shrunk 40%
  • Home field
    +0.3 goals to RCL
  • Record
    RCL 1-3 · COMO 3-1
Full write-up of the model

Season leaders

  • Assane Diao
    goals 2
  • Assane Diao
    goalsleaders 2
  • Florian Thauvin
    goals 1
  • Florian Thauvin
    goalsleaders 1

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

COMORCL
Goal Difference2-1
Total Goals63
Assists41
Goals Against44

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

Como vs Lens prediction · Nov 4, 2026

The model projects Como 2.6, Lens 1.3. Model win probability: Lens 19%, Como 63%, draw 18%.

More: Champions League picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day

Overline Sports

Projections blend power-index ratings with DraftKings lines. Every game carries a computer pick and a tagged DK prop; closed games are graded against those pre-game leans. Statistical estimates, not betting advice. Live scores, clocks, and team pages from ESPN.

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