Champions LeagueWed 2:00 PM CTStade Bollaert-Delelis
Como at Lens
TV · Paramount+
Wed 2:00 PM CT
Computer
Over 3.5
54%
COMO 2.56–1.32 RCL · 0.4 goals over 3.5
Players
A. Diao · COMO
ForwardsF. Thauvin · RCL
Forwards

Como
3-1 · W1 · computer pick
Form DWLDL · 14 PF · 6 PA
2.56
Projected

Lens
1-3 · L1
Form DWLWL · 3 PF · 10 PA
1.32
COMO 63%Draw 18%RCL 19%
Projected COMO 2.56–1.32 RCL · most likely 2–1
The model
How this number was built
COMO 2.56–1.32 RCL · Low confidence
Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.
- Attack / defenseRCL -0.3 off · COMO +0.9 off, shrunk 40%
- Home field+0.3 goals to RCL
- RecordRCL 1-3 · COMO 3-1
Season leaders
Assane Diaogoals 2
Assane Diaogoalsleaders 2
Florian Thauvingoals 1
Florian Thauvingoalsleaders 1
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| COMO | RCL | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal Difference | 2 | -1 |
| Total Goals | 6 | 3 |
| Assists | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 |
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Como vs Lens prediction · Nov 4, 2026
The model projects Como 2.6, Lens 1.3. Model win probability: Lens 19%, Como 63%, draw 18%.
More: Champions League picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day
