Champions LeagueWed 2:00 PM CTSignal Iduna Park
Real Betis at Borussia Dortmund
TV · Paramount+
Wed 2:00 PM CT
Computer
Under 3.5
61%
BET 1.59–1.56 DOR · 0.3 goals under 3.5
Players
M. Bartra · BET
DefensesS. Guirassy · DOR
Forwards
Real Betis
4-0 · W1 · computer pick
Form DLWWD · 8 PF · 4 PA
1.59
Projected
Borussia Dortmund
2-0-1
Form DDLDW · 5 PF · 4 PA
1.56
BET 39%Draw 24%DOR 37%
Projected BET 1.59–1.56 DOR · most likely 1–1
The model
How this number was built
BET 1.59–1.56 DOR · Low confidence
Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.
- Attack / defenseDOR +0.1 off · BET +0.3 off, shrunk 33%
- Home field+0.3 goals to DOR
- RecordDOR 2-0-1 · BET 4-0
Season leaders
- Marc Bartragoals 2
- Marc Bartragoalsleaders 2
- Serhou Guirassygoals 4
- Serhou Guirassygoalsleaders 4
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| BET | DOR | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal Difference | 2 | 1 |
| Total Goals | 6 | 5 |
| Assists | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 |
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Betis vs Dortmund prediction · Nov 4, 2026
The model projects Betis 1.6, Dortmund 1.6. Model win probability: Dortmund 37%, Betis 39%, draw 24%.
More: Champions League picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day